Skip to content

July 2026: Government declines to widen the Thirlwall terms of reference (16 July) · new 100-page insulin report to the CCRC challenging the trial evidence (9 July) · Thirlwall report still expected no earlier than September · inquests relisted to 2027 · Shoo Lee Panel: no medical evidence of deliberate harm.

Lucy Letby Facts

Conflict-map · Post-conviction statistical experts

Prof. Norman Fenton

Bayesian networks in legal evidence

Bayesian statisticsStatistical analysis2Expert/professional

Main contribution

Sustained Bayesian-network analysis of the Letby evidence. The most detailed publicly available Bayesian critique.

Key claim

Posterior probability of guilt on the trial evidence does not meet the criminal-law threshold.

Conflict-map topics this expert participates in

Full biographical profile

Prof. Norman Fenton — biography

Other experts on the same side

Post-conviction statistical experts.