Main contribution
Sustained Bayesian-network analysis of the Letby evidence. The most detailed publicly available Bayesian critique.
July 2026: Government declines to widen the Thirlwall terms of reference (16 July) · new 100-page insulin report to the CCRC challenging the trial evidence (9 July) · Thirlwall report still expected no earlier than September · inquests relisted to 2027 · Shoo Lee Panel: no medical evidence of deliberate harm.
Conflict-map · Post-conviction statistical experts
Bayesian networks in legal evidence
Sustained Bayesian-network analysis of the Letby evidence. The most detailed publicly available Bayesian critique.
Posterior probability of guilt on the trial evidence does not meet the criminal-law threshold.
Cross-reference on the main experts conflict-map page.
Post-conviction statistical experts.